Methods: Between August 2007 and March 2011, a total of 1,359 consecutive patients (975 females, 384 males; mean age 58.6±10.1 years; range 23 to 87 years) who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery in Shariati Hospital, Tehran, Iran were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were classified based on the preoperative creatinine clearance values to group renal (group R; n=21) (<30 mL/min) and group control (group C; n=1338) (≥30 mL/min). Two groups were compared for preoperative characteristics. Effects of preoperative renal insufficiency on post-CABG mortality and morbidity rates were measured using stepwise multivariate logistic regression analyses.
Results: Post-coronary artery bypass grafting surgery renal failure (9.5% vs. 0.4%) and mortality rates (19.0% vs. 3.3%) were higher in group R compared to group C (p<0.001). Renal impairment was an independent predictor for post- CABG surgery renal insufficiency and dialysis (OR=1.05, 95% CI: 1.02-1.07; p=0.001) and early mortality (OR=1.16, 95% CI: 1.07-1.25; p=0.001).
Conclusion: Preoperative non-dialysis-dependent renal insufficiency is the most important risk factor for post-CABG surgery renal failure and mortality. A specific attention is warranted to patients with pre-existing risk factors especially renal impairments.
The relationship between mild-to-moderate renal insufficiency and postoperative clinical outcomes after CABG has been assessed in several studies,[3-10] but until recently,[9] most only assessed renal function based on the serum creatinine levels and not the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) or calculated creatinine clearance rate (CCr). Renal function tests are indications of the state of the kidneys, and the GFR describes the flow rate of filtered fluid through the kidneys. The CCr signifies the volume of blood plasma that is cleared of creatinine per unit time and is a useful measurement for approximating the GFR. It is important to note that both the calculated CCr or the GFR provide a more accurate estimation of renal function than serum creatinine alone.[11] In addition, serum creatinine levels are affected by several factors in the body and may not be reliable enough on their own because kidney lesions and decreased glomerular filtration may also be present in individuals with normal serum creatinine values. In the early stages of renal impairment, relatively small changes in serum creatinine concentration may be associated with major changes in glomerular filtration and creatinine clearance. Moreover, most of the existing literatures provide unadjusted outcomes with regard to the effects of mild renal impairment on postoperative outcomes after isolated CABG. In the current study, we conducted multivariate logistic regression analyses using an extensive database containing more than 200 different variables to investigate the effects of nondialysis- dependent renal dysfunction assessed by both CCr and serum creatinine on postoperative mortality and any associated complications.
Primary and secondary outcomes
Primary outcomes were defined as mortality rate
in the first 30 days after surgery; whereas secondary
outcomes were defined as morbidities that occurred
during hospitalization along with the changes in the
serum creatinine levels in the first five postoperative
days. Furthermore, infection complications were
defined as sternal, deep, or superficial infections,
leg infections, or urinary tract infections, and
neurological complications consisted of the patients
who had suffered a stroke in the first postoperative
72 hours, those who had experienced a transient
ischemic attack (TIA), or those who were in a coma.
In addition, pulmonary complications included
pulmonary embolisms, pneumonia, pleural effusion,
and pneumothorax while ventricular arrhythmia
included ventricular tachycardia, fibrillation, premature
ventricular contraction (PVC), and atrioventricular
junctional rhythm (AVJR). Atrial fibrillation, flutter,
and paroxysmal atrial tachycardia (PAT) made up
the category of supraventricular arrhythmias, and
postoperative myocardial infarction (MI) was defined
as changes involving increased cardiac enzyme levels
or patients with wall motion abnormalities as revealed
on postoperative echocardiography.
Intraoperative findings included the average units of packed red blood cells used in transfusion, perfusion time, aortic cross-clamp time (ACCT), mechanical ventilation time, inotropic support, and the proportion of those who underwent on-pump cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) along with whether or not the patient required an intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP).
Statistical analysis
The results were reported as mean ± standard
deviation (SD) for quantitative variables and percentages for categorical variables, and the groups
were compared using Student’s t-test for continuous
variables and the chi-square test (or Fisher’s exact
test, if required) for categorical variables. Statistical
significance was based on two-sided design-based tests
evaluated at the 0.05 level of significance.
The potential confounding effects of the risk factors associated with surgical outcomes was first tested using univariate analyses for each dependent variable. When it was statistically significant (p<0.2), the variables were evaluated via stepwise multivariable logistic regression analyses to construct the final model. All of the statistical analyses were performed using the SPSS version 16.0 for Windows (SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL, USA) software program.
Table 1: Patients` baseline characteristics
Operative and postoperative outcomes
The comparison of the two groups regarding their
operative clinical characteristics are provided in
Table 2. A higher proportion of patients in group C
underwent on-pump CPB, but the two groups did not
differ significantly in the need for inotropic support,
IABP, transfused packed red blood cell (PRBC) units,
ACCT, perfusion time, or mechanical ventilation time.
Table 2: Patients` operative clinical data
The changes in serum creatinine levels are shown in Figure 1. The mortality rate was considerably higher in the patients with lower creatinine clearance compared to the control subjects (19.0% vs. 3.3%; p<0.001). As shown in Table 3, postoperative outcomes were also compared between two studied groups. We found that a higher proportion of the patients in group R developed postoperative renal failure requiring dialysis compared with group C (9.5% vs. 0.4%; p<0.001). Additionally, a univariate analysis determined that a creatinine clearance of <30 mL/min represented a significant association with renal failure [odds ratio (OR)= 13.3 and 95% confidence intervals (CI)= 1.5-96.5; p=0.005] as well as with the “need for a reoperation due to bleeding” (OR= 4.4 and 95% CI= 1.3-15.4; p =0.012). In the final model based on the stepwise multivariate logistic regression analyses renal impairment was an independent predictor of post-CABG renal failure and d ialysis ( OR= 1 .05 a nd 9 5% C I= 1 .02-1.07; p=0.001) and the “need for a reoperation due to bleeding” (OR= 1.12 and 95% CI= 1.02-1.20; p=0.008). Furthermore, no significant relationships were detected between the low CCr and the following postoperative complications in either the univariate or multivariate analyses: ventricular (ventricular tachycardia and fibrillation) and supraventricular (atrial fibrillation) arrhythmia, gastrointestinal, pulmonary, neurological, or infection (septicemia, deep sternal infection and leg site infection) complications, postoperative MI, or prolonged ventilation (p>0.05).
Table 3: Comparison of post-coronary artery bypass grafting outcomes
Patients of the female gender as well as those who over the age of 65, those with a CCr of <30 mL/min, those categorized as CCS class 3 and 4, and those who underwent on-pump CPB represented independent predictors for early postoperative mortality after CABG in the final model. Furthermore, baseline renal impairment was the most important predictor of postoperative mortality in the patients who underwent CABG (OR= 1.16). Table 4 shows the final multivariate logistic regression model as it relates to post-CABG mortality as a dependent variable.
Table 4: Multivariate analysis for predicting early mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting
Except recently,[9] most of the previous investigations have measured serum creatinine levels in order to evaluate renal function.[3-8] Despite being widely used, these levels alone are not as accurate as the GFR or CCr for determining the presence of chronic kidney disease.[19] In fact, it has been reported that up to 30% of patients with normal serum creatinine levels (≤1.29 mg/dl) may be in stage 3 of chronic kidney disease and have a reduced GFR.[9] Therefore, we used the Cockcroft-Gault formula to estimate the CCr in this study,[12] and the patients were classified i nto t wo groups based on their preoperative CCr.
Since the patients with preoperative mild renal dysfunction were considerably more likely to develop renal failure after CABG, it was expected that they would have higher post-CABG mortality rates, and we found that the early mortality rate was remarkably higher in those with mild renal dysfunction compared with those with normal renal function (19.0% vs. 3.3%, p<0.001). Moreover, the observed mortality rates in both groups were comparatively higher than those in previous studies.[5,9] This may be due to the differences in the setting, surgeons and staff, and equipment used in the studies.
In order to treat the effects of the different baseline characteristics and some of the known risk factors, the impact of preoperative mild renal dysfunction on postoperative mortality was assessed using a stepwise multivariate logistic regression analysis. As revealed in the final model, preoperative renal impairment was the most important predictor of postoperative mortality in the patients who underwent CABG. Consistent with our findings, most recent investigations also have reported that baseline renal dysfunction is a major risk factor for postoperative mortality after CABG.[3-10] Samuels et al.[20] found that patients over the age of 70 with chronic renal failure are at a substantial risk for early morbidity and mortality after CABG. Furthermore, the impact of on-pump CPB with regard to the increased risk for mortality and renal failure after CABG has recently been discussed in a various studies involving patients with non-dialysis-dependent renal insufficiency.[8-10,21-24] However, other studies have failed to reach this same conclusion regarding this topic.[25,26] In addition, other studies agree with our results which concluded that female gender is independent risk factor that is associated with postoperative mortality and complications.[27-29] Moreover, patients who are referred in the late stages of the disease may require urgent surgery, which could increase the risk of mortality and postoperative renal dysfunction.
In this study a significant association was found between preoperative renal dysfunction and post- CABG renal failure as well as the “need for a reoperation due to bleeding” in both the univariate and multivariate analyses. Hayashida et al.[5] also found that patients with mild renal insufficiency were more likely to develop postoperative renal failure and bleeding requiring reexploration.
The retrospective nature of our study is one of its limitations as we had to exclude many potential participants. Furthermore, the low number of patients versus the controls in this study may have affected the study power. Another limitation was that referral bias is common in studies like ours that are conducted in tertiary care referral centers. However, we applied the stepwise multivariate logistic regression model to account for the variance in the patients’ baseline characteristics, but there may have been other unknown factors that we did not account for in our study. In addition, we measured the effects of preoperative renal function on all postoperative morbidities in a separate multivariate logistic regression model to also account for the possible referral bias.
Acknowledgement
The authors wish to thank the Farzan Institute for
Research and Technology for their technical assistance.
Declaration of conflicting interests
The authors declared no conflicts of interest with
respect to the authorship and/or publication of this
article.
Funding
The authors received no financial support for the
research and/or authorship of this article.
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