Methods: Between January 2002 and December 2019, a total of 132 patients (74 males, 58 females; mean age: 55 years; range, 31 to 79 years) diagnosed with malignant pleural mesothelioma were retrospectively analyzed. Patients" demographic data and laboratory results were recorded. The prognostic value of the following five inflammation indices was evaluated: neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, advanced lung cancer inflammation index, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, and prognostic nutritional index.
Results: Of all patients, 81% (n=107) were aged 65 or older and 61.4% (n=81) had an epithelioid histology. Of 12 variables examined in the multivariate analysis for their relationship with survival, age ?65 years, non-epithelioid subtype, and prognostic nutritional index <40 were found to be poor prognostic factors. Based on the score constructed from these factors, the good prognostic group (score 0-1) had a median overall survival of 21 months and a one-year survival rate of 77.9%, while the poor prognostic group (score 2-3) had a median overall survival of nine months and a one-year survival rate of 29.7%.
Conclusion: Our study results indicate that age ≥65 years, prognostic nutritional index <40, and non-epithelioid histological subtype are poor prognostic factors of malignant pleural mesothelioma.
Malignant pleural mesothelioma has three main subtypes, which are epithelioid, sarcomatoid and biphasic. Epithelioid histology has better survival outcomes than the other subtypes.[4] Despite poor survival outcomes, long survival times have been achieved in some patients. Accordingly, several factors that can predict the prognosis have been investigated to date. In line with this aim, the prognostic factors in MPM were mainly researched in studies by the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) and Cancer and Leukemia Group B (CALGB).[5,6] In the study by the EORTC, multivariate analysis determined five risk factors to be associated with a poor prognosis: high white blood cell (WBC) count, probable/possible histological diagnosis instead of a definitive histological diagnosis, sarcomatoid subtype, and male sex. Based on the risk score constructed of these five parameters, the one-year survival rate was found to be 40% in the good risk group and 12% in the poor risk group.[5] Meanwhile, the CALGB study attempted to predict the prognosis by forming six groups based on the parameters of WBC count, hemoglobin level, chest pain, and weight loss and median survival was reported to vary between 1.4 and 13.9 months across the groups.[6] Recently, the prognostic role of the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been examined in various cancers. Several studies have proposed that NLR can be an independent prognostic factor in MPM.[7,8] In a study investigating the prognostic nutritional index (PNI), it was reported to be an effective factor predicting survival in MPM.[9] A C-reactive protein (CRP)/ albumin (CRP/ALB) ratio of ≤0.58 was also shown to be associated with improved survival in patients diagnosed with MPM.[10] Although the advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) has not been studied in MPM patients, ALI has been shown to be an independent prognostic factor, particularly in lung cancer.[11] Another factor to influence survival in MPM is the platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR).[12] Some studies have reported that fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (PET)-computed tomography (CT) parameters may also play a prognostic role in mesothelioma.[13] This may also be an indirect indicator of inflammation.
To the best of our knowledge, there is no study comparing inflammation indices in MPM. In the present study, we, therefore, aimed to investigate the potential prognostic factors of MPM, as well as the prognostic value of inflammation indices for survival, and develop a useful score from the identified factors. We also aimed to examine the correlations between inflammation indices in MPM.
Demographic data and laboratory results were retrieved from the hospital archive system. Age at the time of diagnosis, sex, disease stage at presentation, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS), mesothelioma subtype, type of surgical intervention if performed (extrapleural pneumonectomy [EPP]/pleurectomy-decortication [P/D]), radiotherapy and treatment intent (adjuvant/ palliative), and systemic treatments and treatment intent (adjuvant/palliative) were recorded. Also, weight and height, WBC, total lymphocyte, total neutrophil, platelet counts, hemoglobin, serum albumin and CRP values at the initial presentation were recorded.
Definitions and formulae
All indices were based on the clinical and
laboratory parameters from patients" initial diagnosis.
The indices were computed using the following
formulae: body mass index (BMI); weight/height2
(kg/m2), NLR; absolute neutrophil count (count/mm3)/
absolute lymphocyte count (count/mm3), PLR; absolute
platelet count (count/mm3)/absolute lymphocyte count
(count/mm3), ALI; BMI x serum albumin/NLR, CRP/
ALB; CRP (mg/dL)/serum albumin (g/dL), PNI:
[(10 x serum albumin (g/dL)) + (0.005 x absolute
lymphocyte count (count/mm3))].
Variables
In the light of literature data, parameters previously
reported to have a prognostic value in MPM were
categorized according to the relevant studies. In this
context, age (years) (<65/≥65), sex (female/male),
ECOG PS (0-1/≥2), histological subtype (epithelioid/
non-epithelioid), baseline WBC (x109/L) (<8.3/≥8.3),
baseline platelet count (x109/L) (≤400/>400) and
hemoglobin level (g/dL) (<10/≥10) were classified. The relationships of these variables that have been
previously reported in the literature and the variables
investigated in our study, which included the PNI,
ALI, NLR, PLR, CRP/ALB indices, with overall
survival (OS) were evaluated with univariate and
multivariate analyses. Also, the relationships of these
five indices with each other were analyzed using the
Spearman correlation test. For PNI, which was an
index determined to be associated with survival, a cutoff
value (<40/?40) was identified with 72% sensitivity
and 64% specificity, and introduced to the analysis
(area under the curve [AUC]: 0.643 [0.544-0.741],
p=0.007). A prognostic score was constructed using
the three parameters that were determined to be
associated with survival; age (<65/≥65), histological
subtype (epithelioid/non-epithelioid), and PNI
(≥40/<40). A score of 1 was added for each of the
following parameters: age ≥65, non-epithelioid type,
and PNI <40. The score was calculated as 0 for age
>65, epithelioid type and PNI ≥40. Although there was a numerical difference between the survival of patients
with a score of 0 and 1 in the Cox regression analysis,
those with a score of 0-1 were considered as the good
prognostic group based on the absence of a statistically
significant difference. Similarly, those with a score
of 2-3 were accepted as the poor prognostic group,
since there was no statistically significant difference
between those with a score of 2 and 3 in terms of
survival.
Statistical analysis
Statistical analysis was performed using the PASW
for Windows version 18.0 software (SPSS Inc., Chicago,
IL, USA). Descriptive data were expressed in mean ±
standard deviation (SD) or median (min-max) for
continuous variables and in number and frequency
for categorical variables. The Student t-test was used
for normally distributed numeric variables, and the
Mann-Whitney U test was used for the analysis of
non-normally distributed or non-parametric variables.
Normally distributed variables were analyzed using the Pearson correlation analysis and non-normally distributed variables were analyzed using the Spearman correlation analysis. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. The log-rank p value was used. In survival analyses, Cox regression analysis was used for univariate and multivariate analyses. The enter method was used in univariate analysis, and the backward stepwise likelihood ratio method was used in multivariate analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to identify a cut-off value for the inflammatory index that was found to be associated with survival in the multivariate analysis. A p value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant with 95% confidence interval (CI).
Table 1. Baseline characteristics of the patients
Table 2. Baseline characteristics based on prognostic nutritional index groups
Potential prognostic factors
Of the seven variables (age, sex, ECOG PS, histological
subtype, WBC count, platelet count, and hemoglobin
level) investigated in the univariate analysis with
regard to their relationship with OS, two (age: <65/≥65
and histological subtype: epithelioid/non-epithelioid) were found to be associated with survival. In the
multivariate analysis, being aged ?65 (hazard ratio
[HR=1.87; 95% CI: 1.18-2.96, p=0.007) and nonepithelioid
histology (HR=1.79; 95% CI: 1.23-2.59,
p=0.002) were found to be associated with poor
survival outcomes. These two variables, which
showed a significant relationship with survival in the
univariate analysis, were determined to be independent
prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis. Median
OS (mOS) was 19 months in patients younger than
65 years, while it was 11 months in patients aged
?65 (Figure 1). Patients with an epithelioid histology
had a mOS of 22 months, while it was 11 months in
non-epithelioid histology (Figure 2). There was no
statistically significant relationship between OS and
these parameters that were included in the analyses
in our study. Details regarding the univariate and
multivariate analysis of the variables predicting OS are
provided in Table 3.
Figure 1. Overall survival outcomes according to age of patients.
CI: Confidence interval.
Figure 2. Overall survival outcomes according to histological
subtypes.
CI: Confidence interval.
Table 3. Univariate and multivariate analysis results in terms of overall survival
Prognostic role of indices and PNI
The associations of the five inflammation indices
with OS were investigated in the univariate analysis:
PNI, ALB/CRP ratio, NLR, PLR and ALI. Of these
indices, PNI had a statistically significant relationship
with OS (p=0.002). In the multivariate analysis, PNI
<40 (HR=1.62; 95% CI: 1.11-2.36, p=0.012) was found
to be associated with poor survival outcomes and to be
an independent prognostic factor in predicting survival.
The mOS was 21 months in patients with PNI >40 and 12 months in patients with PNI ≤40 (Figure 3). Other
indices including ALB/CRP ratio, NLR, PLR, and ALI
did not have a statistically significant relationship with
survival (Table 3).
When the patients" 12-month survivals were considered (patients surviving ≤12 months 35.6%, n=47, patients surviving >12 months 64.4%, n=85), there was a statistically significant difference between the mean PNI of the two groups. Those who demonstrated a survival of 12 months or shorter had a lower mean PNI than those who survived longer than 12 months (39.7±7.5 vs. 43.4±8.1, p=0.013). The one-year survival rate was 74.4% in those with PNI ≥40 as opposed to 48% in patients with PNI <40 (p=0.002). Mean values of the ALB/CRP ratio, PLR and ALI did not show a statistically significant difference between these two groups (Table 4). In the correlation analysis, a moderate negative correlation was found between PNI-NLR, PNI-PLR and PNI-CRP/ALB and a strong positive correlation was found between PNI-ALI (r=0.733, p<0.001). A strong negative correlation between PLR-ALI (r=-0.671, p<0.001) and ALI-NLR (r=-0.920, p<0.001), and a strong positive correlation between PLR-NLR (r=0.657, p<0.001) were found (Table 5).
Table 4. The effectiveness of inflammation indexes in predicting one-year survival
Table 5. The relationship between inflammation indexes
Prognostic scoring
Age, histological subtype, and PNI were
included in the scoring system after showing a
strong association with survival in the multivariate
analysis. Age ≥65 years, non-epithelioid histology,
and PNI <40 were found to be associated with a
poor prognosis. A score of 1 was assigned to each
of these characteristics; those with a score of 0-1
were considered as the good prognostic group [no statistically significant difference between
those with a score of 0 and 1 (HR=1.2, 95% CI:
0.81-1.89, p=0.30)] and those with a score of 2-3
were considered as the poor prognostic group [no
statistically significant difference between those
with a score of 2 and 3 (HR=0.74, 95% CI:
0.28-1.91, p=0.53)]. The mOS was 21 months in
the good prognostic group (score=0-1) as opposed
to nine months in the poor prognostic group
(score=2-3) (HR=3.09, 95% CI: 2.05-4.65, p<0.001)
(Figure 4). Details concerning the scores are
presented in Table 6. When the one-year survival
times of the patients were inspected with respect
to the prognostic groups, the one-year survival rate
was 77.9% in the good prognostic group versus a
rate of 29.7% in the poor prognostic group.
Several studies have been conducted on the evaluation of prognostic factors in MPM before. Each study assessed different prognostic factors.[14-18] Due to the hypothesis implicating long years of inflammation in the etiology of MPM, the focus of the search for a prognostic biomarker has shifted to inflammation markers.[19,20] In the present study, we investigated PNI, NLR, PLR, CRP/ALB and ALI, which are inflammation indices that have previously been researched in MPM or other types of cancer. In addition to inflammation indices, seven other factors that have been identified as prognostic factors in various studies, which included age, sex, ECOG PS, histological subtype, WBC count, platelet count and hemoglobin level at diagnosis, were also incorporated into the analyses.
In a study by Kao et al.,[8] the importance of NLR in predicting the prognosis in MPM was emphasized. The multivariate analysis of this study showed that epithelioid histology and NLR <5 were associated with a good prognosis. The one-year survival rate was reported as 60% for NLR <5 and 26% for NLR ?5. In another study, phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN), NLR and PLR were found to be associated with survival in epithelioid MPM.[21] Tural Onur et al.[22] investigated NLR and PLR as prognostic markers in MPM. In this study, PLR had a prognostic value in MPM, while no significant relationship was found between NLR and the prognosis. In our study, NLR and PLR did not have a statistically significant contribution to the prediction of MPM prognosis. Based on one-year survival analysis, there was no statistically significant difference between the mean NLR and PLR values. On the other hand, NLR showed a strong positive correlation with PLR. In addition, both NLR and PLR showed a strong negative correlation with ALI. Considering that NLR is influenced in the early stages of acute inflammation, we can expect it to differ across studies in the prediction of the prognosis. In the literature, studies examining the prognostic role of PLR in MPM were conducted with a low number of patients. In some of these studies, important factors such as the histological subtype and patient age were not included in the analyses.
Takamori et al.[10] reported the CRP/ALB ratio was an independent prognostic marker in MPM. In their study, the cut-off value for CRP/ALB was determined as ?0.58 and >0.58, respectively. They reported survival to be more favorable in MPM patients with CRP/ALB ?0.58. In our study, CRP/ALB was not a predictor for the prognosis. Based on one-year survival analysis, there was no statistically significant difference between those who survived shorter than one year and those who survived longer than one year in terms of mean CRP/ALB. When the relationship of the CRP/ALP ratio with the other inflammation indices was examined, there was a moderate negative correlation with PNI. However, there is not a sufficient number of studies investigating the CRP/ALB ratio as a prognostic factor in MPM for comparison.
Although there is no study regarding ALI in MPM patients in the literature, ALI is included among the prognostic inflammation indices researched in non-small cell lung cancer.[22] These studies have suggested that ALI <18 is associated with a poor prognosis. In our study, ALI could not be demonstrated to have a role in predicting the prognosis of MPM (p=0.45). Mean values of ALI were also not different in terms of the one-year survival outcomes (p=0.78). When its relationship with the other inflammation indices was analyzed, there was a strong positive correlation with PNI and a strong negative correlation with NLR and PLR.
In the study of Zhou-Hong et al.,[9] the prognostic role of PNI was investigated in MPM. In this study, the cut-off value was reported as 44.6. The mOS and one-year survival rate were 18 months and 72.3%, respectively in patients with PNI <44.6 as opposed to 11 months and 45.5% in patients with PNI ?44.6. In our study, PNI was found to be a strong prognostic marker for the prediction of survival. It predicted survival in both univariate (HR=1.81, 95% CI: 1.25-2.61, p=0.002) and multivariate analyses (HR=1.62, 95% CI: 1.11-2.36, p=0.012). Moreover, PNI was also shown to have a role in the prediction of one-year survival. The one-year survival rate was 74.4% in those with PNI ?40 versus 48% in patients with PNI <40 (p=0.002). When the relationship of PNI with the other inflammation indices was analyzed, there was a strong positive correlation with ALI in particular. In our study, the cut-off value for PNI was found to be 40. The prognosis was poorer in those with PNI <40. The prognostic role of PNI in our study is consistent with the literature.
In the CALGB study, 337 MPM patients were evaluated between 1984 and 1994, and survival times were investigated by constructing six different groups based on hemoglobin, WBC count, age, performance status, weight loss and chest pain.[6] In this study, survival times ranged between 13.9 and 1.4 months. On the other hand, the EORTC study evaluated 204 patients between 1984-1993, and of the factors included in the analysis, a non-definitive diagnosis, sarcomatoid histology, WBC count, and male sex were found to be poor prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis. In the risk groups constructed based on the poor prognostic factors in the EORTC study, one-year survival was 40% in the good prognostic group and 12% in the poor prognostic group.[5] Of the seven factors included in our study besides the inflammation indices based on the results of other studies in the literature (age, sex, ECOG PS, histological subtype, WBC count, platelet count and hemoglobin level at diagnosis), only two (age and histological subtype) were determined to have a statistically significant relationship with survival. Sex, ECOG PS, WBC count, platelet count and hemoglobin level at the time of diagnosis did not have a statistically significant relationship with the prognosis. Age was associated with the prognosis in both univariate (HR=1.84, 95% CI: 1.18-2.88, p=0.007) and multivariate analyses (HR=1.87, 95% CI: 1.18-2.96, p=0.007). Age ?65 was identified as a poor prognostic factor. Similarly, histological subtype was associated with the prognosis in both univariate (HR=1.73, 95% CI: 1.20-2.50, p=0.003) and multivariate analysis (HR=1.79, 95% CI: 1.23-2.59, p=0.002). Non-epithelioid histology was identified as a poor prognostic factor in our study.
In our study, the good prognostic group (score=0-1) had a median survival time of 21 months and a one-year survival rate of 77.9% as opposed to a median survival time of nine months and one-year survival rate of 29.7% in the poor prognostic group (score=2-3). There was a statistically significant survival difference between the two groups in terms of the mOS (HR=3.09, 95% CI: 2.05-4.65, p<0.001). In this study, we found these parameters to have an association with the prognosis in multivariate analysis (PNI <40, ?65 years and non-epithelioid histology) to be important predictors of survival in MPM.
In the literature, there is no other study comparing these five inflammation indices in MPM patients. There are also no studies including inflammation indices and conventional prognostic factors in a prognostic score in MPM. Therefore, this is the first study to compare inflammation indices in MPM and their inclusion in the prognostic score.
The main limitations to our study are its single-center, retrospective design, the heterogeneity of the patient groups, and the relatively low number of patients aged ?65 years.
In conclusion, our study results indicate that prognostic nutritional index <40, age ?65 years, and non-epithelioid histology are poor prognostic factors. There is also a significant difference in survival between the good-risk group and the poor-risk group based on the prognostic scores. This score may serve as a simple and useful scoring system in the prediction of malignant pleural mesothelioma prognosis in clinical practice.
Ethics Committee Approval: The study protocol was approved by the Dicle University Faculty of Medicine Non- Interventional Clinical Research Ethics Committee (date: 15.12.2021, no: 10). The study was conducted in accordance with the principles of the Declaration of Helsinki.
Data Sharing Statement: The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Author Contributions: Idea/concept, control/supervision: S.E., Z.O., Z.K., O.K., Z.U., M.K., M.A.K., A.I.; Design: S.E., Z.O., Z.K., O.K., Z.U., M.K., M.A.K., A.I.; Data collection and/or processing: S.E., Z.O., Z.K., O.K.; Analysis and/or interpretation: S.E., Z.O., M.K., M.A.K., A.I.; Literature review: S.E., Z.O., Z.K., O.K., Z.U.; Writing the article, critical review: S.E., Z.O., Z.K., O.K., Z.U., M.K., M.A.K., A.I.; References and fundings: S.E., Z.O., Z.K.; Materials: S.E., Z.O., Z.K., O.K., Z.U.; Other: S.E., Z.O.
Conflict of Interest: The authors declared no conflicts of interest with respect to the authorship and/or publication of this article.
Funding: The authors received no financial support for the research and/or authorship of this article.
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